Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 77387.101035 81762.283901 86141.829920 90851.550656 95769.946249 100751.551466 106175.435687
2025-12-07 70559.044097 77249.412036 84137.582190 91749.776335 99916.564972 108405.512926 117886.641582
2025-12-14 65128.247385 73354.879710 82015.641520 91793.418160 102505.198895 113863.138434 126796.484781
2025-12-21 61105.230788 70485.023797 80545.737150 92107.142727 104992.635796 118878.830044 134940.786216
2025-12-28 58602.264977 69003.880919 80340.918987 93567.557881 108525.320909 124866.185438 144016.583657
2026-01-04 56246.942955 67479.420452 79900.802448 94590.742593 111420.776145 130031.024811 152094.529630
2026-01-11 53987.246807 65900.570868 79252.591183 95241.524390 113778.777407 134503.673481 159332.415986
2026-01-18 51683.688374 64132.520092 78262.329668 95382.169023 115452.081476 138121.189419 165543.059674
2026-01-25 49661.183099 62584.125203 77427.590191 95610.426441 117147.896355 141706.298640 171679.912637
2026-02-01 47642.798009 60942.190323 76393.538613 95520.417931 118399.849809 144723.688353 177123.699051
2026-02-08 46228.158747 59958.272302 76079.955624 96230.691098 120553.628613 148769.268773 183765.592710
2026-02-15 44521.999014 58544.588645 75183.091781 96178.875240 121747.308610 151646.846427 189010.086618
2026-02-22 43601.493141 58079.111813 75426.946022 97513.229195 124631.944192 156580.943676 196781.698442
2026-03-01 42500.457071 57344.150708 75304.683466 98372.732881 126927.359525 160814.235388 203742.149925
2026-03-08 41065.097195 56131.988681 74542.621662 98398.431391 128168.756680 163756.369615 209142.525820
2026-03-15 39862.112592 55170.380864 74052.551413 98725.935765 129754.517636 167102.401741 215036.053959
2026-03-22 39296.978557 55004.497998 74544.174358 100270.537787 132847.376547 172300.729142 223223.176450
2026-03-29 38559.219479 54583.146102 74685.781002 101353.038939 135353.008570 176780.828812 230549.893663
2026-04-05 37689.428312 53956.066865 74536.163949 102041.579817 137348.627160 180628.145969 237109.283439
2026-04-12 36632.519867 53045.241758 73988.242304 102190.378098 138639.169586 183587.897414 242569.745704
2026-04-19 35667.349254 52225.925797 73531.333768 102431.879694 140030.027265 186665.857759 248184.851206
2026-04-26 34609.889490 51248.893985 72837.254307 102336.647746 140966.908650 189160.411966 253067.752091
2026-05-03 33942.261540 50782.277162 72799.821567 103088.110612 142990.401901 193033.534002 259710.179029